Unlike other transportation sectors, civil aviation will have to rely on liquid fuels for the foreseeable future. Although aircraft manufacturers are developing hydrogen and electric propulsion systems, it will take significant time for these technologies to become fully mature and economically viable.
Emissions from international aviation are specifically excluded from the targets agreed under the Kyoto Protocol. This has led to some national environmental policies such as fuel and emission taxes for domestic air travel in the Netherlands and Norway, respectively. Although some countries tax the fuel used by domestic aviation, there is no duty on kerosene used on international flights at this moment. The EU is pressing ahead with its plans to include aviation in its effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG).
Today global international aviation emissions are 70% higher than in 2005 and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) forecasts that by 2050 these could grow by a further 300-700%.
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has the potential to reduce up to 80% of CO2 emissions compared to fossil fuel when used on a large scale. One would expect to see a flourishing SAF market, however, the reality is that this market is virtually non-existent because of the economics. Bio jet fuel is still two or three times more expensive than fossil fuel.
The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) adopted the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) to address CO2 emissions from international aviation. As global air travel grows, any emissions that rise above a fixed baseline must be offset by airlines by purchasing Carbon Credits or using Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
ICAO Member States adopted a collective long-term global aspirational goal (LTAG) of net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.
To achieve this goal approximately 100 million-ton SAF per year would be needed at today’s global jet fuel consumption but less than 0.1 percent of this volume is produced today.